Denha NexusFeature · Forecast scenarios

Forecast scenarios: what happens if you raise or cut the budget

A client asks "what if we add a third to the budget", and guessing is not an answer. This section builds scenarios on the history of the account itself: how many leads came at what spend, how the cost moved, where a campaign runs into its ceiling. If there is not enough data for a conclusion, it says so - that is more honest than a straight line going up.

14 days on any plan, no card needed to start. After the click: a three-field form and the workspace.

How it is worked out

The base
The account history of 90 days and everything gathered since you connected
What changes
The daily budget of a campaign or ad group, or the split between platforms
What is shown
Expected leads and cost per lead as a range, not as a single number
Limits
Where a campaign runs into its reach and more budget stops working
When it stays quiet
On thin data the scenario is marked as unconfirmed
Alongside
Budget reallocation between campaigns every 7 days

A scenario is an estimate on historical data, not a promise. A forecast presented as a guarantee damages a client relationship faster than a failed campaign does.

01What it looks like

Forecast scenarios in ADS Beast

Screen recording: a budget change scenario with its range and confidence label, the saturation point of a campaign, and a reallocation proposal in the approval queue.

A screen recording of the product in the ADS Beast demo workspace. The clients and campaigns on screen exist for the demonstration; no real advertiser stands behind them.
02What it does

What the section does

01

A range instead of a single number

"There will be this many leads" is wrong on the face of it: the outcome depends on the auction, the season and the competitors. The scenario shows a range and says how much data it was built on.

  • Expected leads and cost as a range
  • The amount of data the scenario was built on
  • A confidence label: confirmed, likely, not enough data
02

Where more budget stops working

A campaign has a ceiling: the audience runs out and the extra money goes into a rising cost. This section shows where that line falls on historical data, and that is usually the most useful answer a client gets.

  • The point beyond which cost per lead rises faster than volume
  • Campaigns that have already hit the ceiling
  • Campaigns that still have room
03

Reallocation instead of an increase

Often a client does not need a bigger budget - they need it moved between campaigns. Every 7 days the system proposes a reallocation with the arithmetic behind it, and it goes through the approval queue like any other action that touches money.

  • A proposal to move budget, with the expected effect worked out
  • An action in the approval queue rather than a quiet change
  • A history: what was proposed, what was confirmed, what came of it
04

A conversation with the client on their own figures

A scenario can be attached to a report or to a proposal. It rests on the data in the client ad account, and the client can check the source figures - unlike industry reference points from a slide deck.

  • A scenario inside the client report and the commercial proposal
  • The source data next to the conclusion
03How it works

How to build a scenario

Nothing is needed beyond a connected account and the history it has gathered.

  1. 01

    Gather the history

    Connecting brings 90 days, and the history grows on its own after that.

  2. 02

    Pick a campaign and a change

    Raising the daily budget by a third, say, or moving it between platforms.

  3. 03

    Read the range and the limits

    Expected leads, cost, the saturation point, the confidence label.

  4. 04

    Confirm if you decide to

    The budget change goes into the approval queue and is applied after confirmation.

04How it fits together

Where the data comes from and what you get out of it.

Ad accounts hand over their statistics through your own OAuth apps. The system puts them into one picture, agents look for what to change, and only what you approve gets changed.

Platforms
  • Google AdsOAuth
  • MetaOAuth
  • TikTokOAuth
  • LinkedInOAuth
  • Microsoft AdvertisingOAuth
  • Windsor.aiAPI key
ADS Beast
Combines and checks
  • sync every 15 minutes
  • conversion to USD at the day rate
  • reconciliation with the native account
  • 90 days of history
What you get
  1. One spend summaryEvery account in one currency and one date window.
  2. Tasks from agentsWhat to change, where and why, linked to the row in the account.
  3. A person decidesBudgets, bids and statuses change only after approval.

Early access

See your own ad accounts the way the diagram shows them.

We are opening access to agencies in turn. Leave a work email and we will write when your turn comes, then help you connect the first account.

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05Figures from the code
90 days
of history arrive on connection
7 days
between reallocation proposals
12 h
between reviews of running tests
06What it does not do

What the scenarios do not do

  • They do not guarantee an outcome and are not handed to a client as a promise.
  • They do not build a forecast on data that is too thin - in that case they say so.
  • They do not stand in for testing a hypothesis: if the question matters, test it rather than estimate it.
  • They do not apply budget changes themselves.
07Questions and answers

Questions and answers

What is the forecast built on?

On the history of the account itself: spend, leads and their cost by day. Connecting brings 90 days, and the history grows from there. Industry reference points are not used, because they cannot be checked.

Why a range instead of a number?

Because the outcome depends on the auction, the season and the competitors. A single number would only look more precise. Next to the range you get the amount of data and a confidence label.

What do I do when the system says "not enough data"?

That is an honest answer, not a failure. Either gather more history or test the hypothesis. The system will not dress up an estimate from three days as a forecast.

Can I show a scenario to a client?

Yes, it goes into the report and the commercial proposal together with the source data it was built on, so the client can check it.

Build a scenario on a client account and show them the limits, not a curve going up

The first 14 days are free on any plan and you do not need a card to start. History for 90 days arrives when the account is connected.

14 days on any plan, no card needed to start. After the click: a three-field form and the workspace.